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	<title>Comments on: Strategies, scenarios and predictions: between science and mythology</title>
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	<link>http://liberteworld.com/2010/02/19/strategies-scenarios-and-predictions-between-science-and-mythology/</link>
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		<title>By: Karl Wagner</title>
		<link>http://liberteworld.com/2010/02/19/strategies-scenarios-and-predictions-between-science-and-mythology/comment-page-1/#comment-312</link>
		<dc:creator>Karl Wagner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Feb 2010 13:25:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberteworld.com/?p=441#comment-312</guid>
		<description>&quot;it predicted that about the year 2000 (so 10 years ago!) our civilisation would collapse due to running out of almost everything: fuels, raw materials, food etc.&quot;

This is wrong. Everybody who can read will be able to verify that Limits to Growth does not contain a) any prediction and b) says nothing that in about the Year 2000 our civilisation would collapse due to...

Let me quote Matthew R. Simmons, a US investment banker and former fomer energy adviser of GW Bush: 

&quot;After reading The Limits to Growth, I was amazed. Nowhere in the book was there any mention about running out of anything by 2000. Instead, the book&#039;s concern was entirely focused on what the world might look like 100 years later. There was not one sentence or even a single word written about an oil shortage, or limit to any specific resource, by the year 2000.

The members of the &quot;Club or Rome&quot; were also not a mysterious, sinister, anonymous group of doomsayers. Rather, they were a group of 30 thoughtful, public spirited-intellects from ten different countries. 
.......
The most amazing aspect of the book is how accurate many of the basic trend extrapolation worries which ultimately give raise to the limits this book expresses still are, some 30 years later. In fact, for a work that has been derisively attacked by so many energy economists, a group whose own forecasting record has not stood the test of time very well, there was nothing that I could find in the book which has so far been even vaguely invalidated. To the contrary, the chilling warnings of how powerful exponential growth rate can be are right on track. The thesis that it is easy to misjudge this type of growth has also been proven by the volumes of misguided criticism that the report engendered.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;it predicted that about the year 2000 (so 10 years ago!) our civilisation would collapse due to running out of almost everything: fuels, raw materials, food etc.&#8221;</p>
<p>This is wrong. Everybody who can read will be able to verify that Limits to Growth does not contain a) any prediction and b) says nothing that in about the Year 2000 our civilisation would collapse due to&#8230;</p>
<p>Let me quote Matthew R. Simmons, a US investment banker and former fomer energy adviser of GW Bush: </p>
<p>&#8220;After reading The Limits to Growth, I was amazed. Nowhere in the book was there any mention about running out of anything by 2000. Instead, the book&#8217;s concern was entirely focused on what the world might look like 100 years later. There was not one sentence or even a single word written about an oil shortage, or limit to any specific resource, by the year 2000.</p>
<p>The members of the &#8220;Club or Rome&#8221; were also not a mysterious, sinister, anonymous group of doomsayers. Rather, they were a group of 30 thoughtful, public spirited-intellects from ten different countries.<br />
&#8230;&#8230;.<br />
The most amazing aspect of the book is how accurate many of the basic trend extrapolation worries which ultimately give raise to the limits this book expresses still are, some 30 years later. In fact, for a work that has been derisively attacked by so many energy economists, a group whose own forecasting record has not stood the test of time very well, there was nothing that I could find in the book which has so far been even vaguely invalidated. To the contrary, the chilling warnings of how powerful exponential growth rate can be are right on track. The thesis that it is easy to misjudge this type of growth has also been proven by the volumes of misguided criticism that the report engendered.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: Liberte World » Blog Archive » Strategies, scenarios and &#8230; &#124; Breaking News 24/7</title>
		<link>http://liberteworld.com/2010/02/19/strategies-scenarios-and-predictions-between-science-and-mythology/comment-page-1/#comment-309</link>
		<dc:creator>Liberte World » Blog Archive » Strategies, scenarios and &#8230; &#124; Breaking News 24/7</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Feb 2010 08:44:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://liberteworld.com/?p=441#comment-309</guid>
		<description>[...] the rest here: Liberte World » Blog Archive » Strategies, scenarios and &#8230;   Share [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] the rest here: Liberte World » Blog Archive » Strategies, scenarios and &#8230;   Share [...]</p>
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